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January Commentary

UK MARKETS

Despite negative returns, the UK outperformed most developed markets in December. The UK declined but comfortably outperformed developed market peers in December. This performance was due, in some part, to index composition, with the FTSE comprised of a higher number of consumer staples and commodity-focused companies, which performed better. However, growth sensitive stocks languished, as PMI’s remained in negative territory but steadied, and yields rose. Inflation remains the key cause of concern, although there are signs that it is reaching a peak. The Bank of England raised interest rates 50 basis points higher, and it’s guidance remains hawkish going into the first quarter. Down -1.6% (UK All Share)

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December Commentary

UK MARKETS - Political change leads to market stability and falling government yields. The UK opted for political change, trading Liz Truss and Kwasi Kwarteng for Rishi Sunak and Jeremy Hunt as Prime Minister and Chancellor, respectively. Equities responded positively to a more orthodox fiscal approach and greater political stability, while yields declined on UK government debt. From a sector standpoint, consumer related sub-sectors, such as travel/leisure and tobacco, performed best. The Bank of England is expected to raise rates at the November meeting. However, the consensus for future hikes has softened, with the latest PMI data signalling the country is moving into contractionary territory already. Up 3.0% (UK All Share)

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November Commentary

Political change leads to market stability and falling government yields.

The UK opted for political change, trading Liz Truss and Kwasi Kwarteng for Rishi Sunak and Jeremy Hunt as Prime Minister and Chancellor, respectively. Equities responded positively to a more orthodox fiscal approach and greater political stability, while yields declined on UK government debt. From a sector standpoint, consumer-related sub-sectors, such as travel/leisure and tobacco, performed best. The Bank of England is expected to raise rates at the November meeting. However, the consensus for future hikes has softened, with the latest PMI data signalling that the country is moving into contractionary territory already. Up 3.0% (UK All Share)

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Diving into digital assets

As a business, investors and consumers increasingly embrace digital solutions, the diversity of investable asset types is set to increase significantly.

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October Commentary

Recently announced government policy initiatives spooked the markets.

UK Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng announced a range of policy measures which jolted risk-assets into reversal, notably a £45 billion proposal of debt-funded tax cuts at a time when inflation is running dangerously high. UK 10-year gilt yields spiked more than 120 basis points to 4.6% in just four days, which prompted the Bank of England to intervene and state it would purchase bonds ‘at what scale is necessary’ to maintain bond market stability. In response to the volatility, sterling sold-off and traded at a 37-year low versus the US dollar. Down -6.1% (UK All Share)

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The future of investing

SPRING IM founders, Simon O’Donoghue and Alfie Greenway, who have more than 45 years’ experience in the sector, recognised that there are many islanders who would like the opportunity to invest their money but wouldn’t qualify in terms of their ‘wealth’ with existing on-island wealth management firms.

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September Commentary

Inflation and a new PM lead to uncertain times for the UK. UK CPI rose to 10.1% to July 2022, up from 9.4% in June, with household budgets bracing for another energy price cap increase in October. The FTSE 100 fell less than US and European indexes, with Small and Mid-cap indexes down 2.03% and 5.46% respectively over the period. The UK is poised for more fiscal policy uncertainty under a new PM. Along with Europe, the energy crisis from Russia’s war in Ukraine looks set to put more pressure on UK food and energy prices. Down 2.4% (UK All Share)

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Why now is a good time to invest

Many first-time investors ask a difficult question: Is now a good time to invest? The simple answer is… yes!

Find out from our experts why now is the right time to plan your long-term investment portfolio.

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August Commentary

Falling commodity prices meant the FTSE100, due to its higher exposure to commodities, lagged other developed equity markets. The Bank of England is expected to increase interest rates by 0.5% as a means to cool inflation, with UK annual inflation rising to a 40-year high of 9.4% in the year to June 2022. While the Conservative Party decides shortly on who will lead the country next, UK economic growth is expected to slow as a result of multiple factors, including nationwide strikes. Up 4.2% (UK All Share)

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